Showing posts with label United Nations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label United Nations. Show all posts

Wednesday, 3 September 2025

Farmisht about Gaza?

In Yiddish, פאַרמישט (farmisht, pronounced almost exactly like 'famished' in English) means 'confused'.  So, is Gaza famished, or are we farmisht?

On 22 August 2025, the IPC Global Partnership – a coalition of charities, governmental and UN agencies – classified the situation in one of Gaza’s 5 governorates as ‘Famine’.  Now let’s unpack that label.

The shifting shifty definition

Famine isn’t a new phenomenon. What’s new in our modern world is an institutionalised effort to combat it.  This gave birth to a plethora of charities and aid agencies, each with its own priorities, standards, procedures and methods of providing relief.

Faced with recurring famine in Africa, by 2004 a UN agency sponsored the creation of a unified, scientifically rigorous methodology for quantifying food insecurity.  Dubbed ‘the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification’ and eventually codified in a Technical Manual, it defined 5 degrees of severity, with ‘Famine’ being the worst level.  To assess that, it quantified 3 different criteria:

  1. Household food consumption;
  2. Acute malnutrition;
  3. Mortality.

Thresholds were established for each of these, with ‘Famine’ requiring “[e]vidence that all three criteria” exceed their respective thresholds.

By 2009, a bureaucratic apparatus called IPC Global Partnership (backed by the UN, charities and aid agencies) was established to apply the IPC methodology.  In practice, this put the process in the hands of a small army of eager activists and activist scientists.  They’re typically keen to find ‘Famine’: it justifies their own existence, but also finds favour in the eyes of their stakeholders – charities and agencies whose role is to deliver aid.  That's where Science meets Politics.

In October 2024, as the conflict in Gaza entered its second year, the IPC produced a ‘Famine Factsheet,’ introducing a new concept: ‘Famine with Reasonable Evidence’:

“An area is classified in Famine with reasonable evidence if there is clear evidence that two of the three thresholds . . . have been reached, and analysts reasonably assess [that] . . . the third outcome has likely been reached.”

So instead of “all three criteria”, this new classification required just two, with the third left at the discretion of ‘analysts’ – rather than based on evidence.  But, at least, “clear evidence” was seemingly required for the other two criteria.

Yet in May 2025 – while Israel and the US promoted Gaza Humanitarian Foundation as an alternative to the UN aid apparatus – the IPC issued a Technical Note, this time claiming:

“An area is classified in Famine with reasonable evidence if minimally adequate evidence is available on two out of the three . . . to support the classification.”

To summarise: in 2019, the IPC required reliable evidence over all 3 criteria; by 2024, this was reduced in practice to “clear evidence” for 2 out of 3; and by 2025, the requirement was just “minimally adequate evidence,” again for 2 out of 3…

The Technical Manual has not been updated: that would require agreement from too many stakeholders.  Yet the goalposts were surreptitiously shifted by means of ‘factsheets’ and ‘notes’.  So much for ‘scientific integrity’!

Getting in vs. getting there

IPC assessments are entirely based on outcomes, not inputs.  I.e., they classify famine in an area only by looking at population data (food consumption, physical signs of malnutrition, mortality), not at the amounts of food going in.

This is justified: the fact that food enters a territory doesn’t mean it reaches everybody in sufficient quantities.  But, unlike the IPC, we may be interested in food input data, as well – if not to rebut the claim of Famine, then certainly to analyse its causes.

Fortunately, such data is available.  To preclude argument about its reliability, I’ll only use data from the IPC itself and from UN sources.  Israel claims that these numbers are understated, but let’s not get hung up on that; they’re certainly not overstated.

Firstly, however: how much food is needed in Gaza?  You may have heard or read (from the BBC and others) that the UN says ‘600 truckloads a day’.  Well, forget that number.  It’s a lie based on a misrepresentation.  UN’s own World Food Program (WFP) requires:

“At least 100 aid trucks per day to be allowed through northern, central and southern border points in a sustained and predictable manner.”

The IPC itself says:

“Estimates from the FAO21 and the WFP22 converge around 60,000 – 62,000 metric tonnes (MT) needed each month to meet minimum daily caloric requirements.”

Which boils down to the same number: 100 truckloads a day, given that a truckload of emergency food is equivalent to c. 20 metric tonnes.

So how much food is being delivered?  Again from the IPC itself:

“55,600 metric tonnes of food entered Gaza in the first half of August…”

That’s in excess of 3,700 metric tonnes (more than 185 truckloads) a day.

So how can there be famine?  The IPC, of course, blames Israel.  Even 185 truckloads daily, they say,

“remains largely insufficient to offset the prolonged deficits.”

But talking about “accumulated deficits” is utterly dishonest.  Yes, people may eat more in August, because they lived on lower rations in July.  But they cannot eat 85% more than normal; nor should they, even if they could.

In fact, in its own report, the IPC claims that, to recover the deficit

“can take months with 25% more calories than typically needed, depending on the severity of malnutrition.”

That's because eating 25% more than normal is the feasible and safe way to recover past deficits.  But in the 1st half of August what entered the Strip was not 25%, but 85% more than needed.  And, by the way, it did not stop: truckloads continued to enter at pace.  According to COGAT (but not expressly contested by the UN) 320 truckloads entered on 17 August, 250 on 20 August, 220 on 21 August…  In total, 1,600 truckloads during the week 18-24 August alone – though some of them carried non-food aid.

Eventually, the IPC gets to the crux of the matter:

“In addition, security and operational challenges have prevented much of the incoming food from reaching the population. Aid deliveries have been severely disrupted—with 87 percent of UN trucks reportedly intercepted—reflecting the extreme desperation of the population.”

In other words, the food got into Gaza – but it didn’t reach the hungry people, because the vast majority was “intercepted” (read: looted or taken over) en-route.  IPC rather spuriously attributes this to “the extreme desperation of the population”.  But one would expect those most in need to also be the most desperate.  On the other hand, it is also claimed that those most in need were not the ones getting the food.

It's impossible to accurately determine who are the looters – whether hungry and angry people, criminal gangs or Hamas operatives (or a combination thereof): none of those groups is in the habit of issuing membership cards – and they all consist primarily of males aged of 12 to 60, who are dressed in civilian clothes and look exactly the same.  What’s clear is that Hamas and fellow travellers continue to fire their weapons for nigh on 2 years now – and they haven't subsisted all that time just on fervent prayer!

August 2025: Gazan men taking over a truck transporting aid

The point is that, if Gazans don’t get the food, it’s not because Israel doesn’t allow it in – but because it gets stolen by other Gazans.

Assessing the assessments

But, as mentioned, all this is of little relevance to the IPC: they make their determinations based on outcomes, not inputs.

Except that, in the case of Gaza, it’s not easy to reliably determine those outcomes.  Take for instance the first criterion, which assesses household food consumption.  In the Gaza Governorate, this was based mostly on surveying a sample of respondents: 504 were interviewed over the phone.  A second survey, involving 350 respondents, was apparently also conducted among the same population, but the IPC report does not make it clear how they were interviewed and whether the two samples overlapped.

Respondents are asked: “How many times, in the last 7 days have you eaten meat, fish or eggs?  Beans, lentils and peas?  Vegetables?  Fruit?  Milk/yoghurt/cheese?  Sugar?  etc.” 

Also “In the past 7 days, how many times did you have to eat less preferred/less expensive food?  How many times did you have to reduce portions?  To skip meals?  To borrow food from relatives?”

And finally “In the past 30 days, was there ever a time when there was no food in the house?  When you had to go to bed hungry?  When you went for an entire day with no food?” (answers: “Never”, “Rarely”, “Sometimes”, “Often”).

Responses are distilled into numeric scores which (after some additional ‘expert manipulation’), are compared to IPC thresholds – resulting in an assessment of food consumption.  For ‘Famine’ classification, at least 20% of households must experience ‘extremely poor food consumption’.

The second criterion is ‘Acute Malnutrition’.  This is normally assessed by surveying children aged 6-59 months.  Their weight and height are measured and compared with age-specific thresholds.  A famine classification requires at least 30% of children below norm.

But, says the IPC, performing such measurements in a conflict area is difficult.  Surveyors would have to visit remaining neighbourhoods and tent cities, armed with scales and measuring boards…  Which is why the IPC instituted a shortcut: instead of performing rigorous height-and-weight surveys, it makes do with measuring the children’s upper arm circumference.  And instead of representative population samples, they measure children who are ‘normally’ brought to medical facilities (clinics and hospitals), usually because they need treatment – either for malnutrition or for any other illness.  The age is considered irrelevant, as long as it’s within range (6-59 months).  All that’s needed is a special measuring tape, one available anyway in most such facilities.  The measurement itself takes seconds and is part of the child’s routine examination.  The ‘Famine’ threshold in this case is 15%, rather than 30%, since the method is supposedly less sensitive.

Measuring a child's upper arm circumference. Red means 'below threshold'. Obviously younger children have smaller arms - but in a representative sample age is supposed to 'even out' statistically.

The main issue here is response/result bias.  This is a known problem in all such surveys and the IPC claims that it knows how to deal with it.  But their tendency is to see under-, rather than overstating.  Not necessarily wrong: in some cultures, people hide malnutrition, out of a sense of social shame.  But Gaza is surely different.  Firstly, many inhabitants have been publicly receiving aid – for many years.  Secondly, there’s not just a political, but also a huge practical incentive to exaggerate: given the unusually high ‘interest’ that ‘the international community’ manifests in this particular conflict, reports of catastrophic famine are seen as more likely to bring not just more aid, but also an end to the war.  If you were a Gazan responding to such a survey (after 22 months of hardship, displacement, bombardments and generally shitty life – how likely would you be to ‘embellish a bit’ when answering those questions?

And how likely would you be, if you were a Palestinian nurse or doctor, to deliberately report lower arm circumferences?  All you’d need to do is ‘steal’ a few millimetres by tightening the tape a tad more; or just skew the results by preferentially measuring younger children (say, more 2-year-olds and fewer 4 year olds…)

The IPC says it ‘validates’ the data by ‘triangulation’ – meaning they look not just at one parameter, but at several; they point at the convergence of that data.  The problem with that is we’re talking about sets of unreliable data, which should all be expected to err in the same direction.

The raw data, by the way, is not published – just IPC's 'expert interpretation' thereof.  Like medieval catholic priests, the IPC 'experts' want to ensure that the Bi... err... the data are 'correctly' interpreted.

Uncounted or undead?

This should make the third criterion (malnutrition-related mortality) even more important: deaths are more difficult to manipulate.  After all, dead people have identities, families and eventually graves.

IPC’s daily mortality threshold for famine is 2 deaths per 10,000 people.  According to the IPC, more than 500,000 people live in Famine in the Gaza Governorate.  This means over 100 deaths a day.  Since the IPC classification refers to the period 1 July – 15 August 2025, the deaths add up to over 4,600.

But even the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry only claimed c. 200 deaths in that period (see here and here).

The IPC report admits that “[t]he analysis team could not conclude on mortality evidence”.  Meaning: there wasn’t even “minimally adequate evidence” for that.

Hence, this was referred to ‘assessment by experts’ – who promptly performed a sleight-of-hand: they simply claimed that Hamas was under-counting deaths.

“Different analyses indicate that MoH [Minister of Health] data systematically underestimate overall mortality, highlighting structural limitations in mortality surveillance.”

The Hamas-run Gaza Minister of Health is – let’s recall – the same ‘source’ that the UN and most journalists proclaim as ‘reliable’ in terms of counting Palestinian victims of the ‘Israeli aggression’…  And 200 instead of 4,600 is one hell of an underestimate!

As for the “[d]ifferent analyses” mentioned above, none of them is directly relevant – or even refers to the same time period that the IPC deals with!

Conclusion

IPC’s analysis is not just flawed, but fundamentally dishonest: based on moving the goalposts, on unreliable surveys and on unreasonable ‘assessments’.  It’s a betrayal of IPC’s role, of their principles and of the people they’re supposed to help.  There’s no ‘Famine’ in Gaza – not in the way they themselves defined it.

But that doesn’t mean there isn’t hunger.  The fact that more than enough calories get in doesn’t mean they reach all those who need them.  Not just because Hamas steals them; nor because ‘people are desperate’.  But because in Gaza – as elsewhere – the powerful (be they Hamas, criminals or just those with big elbows) take more than their fair share; some will even profit from the plight of their fellow men. 

Whatever the cause, there’s hardship and human suffering in Gaza.  But lying ain’t the way to end it.

Let’s stop fantasizing that civilians can lead quasi-normal lives, while trapped in war zones.  Let’s stop pretending that ‘a permanent ceasefire’ isn’t crowning terrorists as victors.  The only way to defeat Hamas without starving, hurting and killing innocents is allowing the latter to flee Gaza.

For those who wave the flag of 'international law' at every opportunity, here's a provision of the 4th Geneva Convention (Art. 35):

"All protected persons who may desire to leave the territory at the outset of, or during a conflict, shall be entitled to do so, unless their departure is contrary to the national interests of the State."

The UN proclaims that Palestinian civilians in Gaza are "protected persons" and requires Israel ("the State") to treat them as such.  But they oppose allowing the former to escape.

Via its refugee protection agency (UNHCR), the UN also proclaims that a neutral neighbouring state cannot legally close its border to those in danger:

"Denying access to territory and asylum procedure . . . blatantly contradicts international law and . . . provisions of the . . . Convention relating to the Status of Refugees of 1951 and its Additional Protocol of 1967."

Egypt is a signatory to both the Convention and its Additional Protocol.  It has accepted more than one million refugees – mostly from war-torn Sudan and Syria; but not from Gaza.

EU member countries are also signatories.  They have accepted more than 4.3 million refugees from Ukraine; but not from Gaza.

The UK (another signatory) has instituted a special visa category for Ukrainians – 274,000 visas were issued to asylum-seekers from Ukraine; but not from Gaza.

Egypt, EU, UK... these are all countries that preach to Israel about international law and humanitarianism.

If IPC and their UN masters had any integrity, that’s what they’d advocate: for Gazans to be offered (at least temporarily) refuge – both among their Arab brethren and in the West.  Anyone not recognising the Gazans' right, in the midst of a war, to seek asylum in neutral countries is being driven by base hypocrisy and ugly antisemitism, not by noble ‘humanitarian’ concerns!

Friday, 9 February 2024

Of genocide and Doritos crisps

ICJ President Joan E. Donaghue reads the 29-page ruling.

Arrest the Common Sense – it broke the Common Law!

Here’s a quote from James Clavell’s most famous novel:

“The law may upset reason but reason may never upset the law, or our whole society will shred like an old tatami. The law may be used to confound reason, reason must certainly not be used to overthrow the law.”

Many legal scholars fell in love with this adage. What they apparently failed to notice is that Clavell put these ‘wise words’ in the mouth of Yoshi Toranaga – a wily war lord who only pretended to obey the law, while manipulating it to his advantage to make himself Shogun, absolute ruler of medieval Japan.

No, to set the law above reason is to invite fanaticism; to apply a law that confounds reason is to perpetrate injustice.

Laws and the Rule of Law are two of humanity’s most valuable inventions.  They can guide us on the road to justice – in the spirit of the biblical injunction צדק צדק תרדף (justice, justice thou shalt pursue).

But, no matter how valuable, every human invention can be used for good or evil purposes.  The domestication of animals improved communications, allowed people to ‘delegate’ back-breaking work, reduced famine and filled our innate desire for companionship; but it also provided more destructive ways to make war – war elephants, cavalry charges and horse-drawn cannon. More recently, the discovery of radioactive materials provided a means to save human beings affected by terrible diseases – but also to kill people by the tens of thousands.

Laws are no different: they can be wonderful guardians of life, dignity and freedom; but, throughout history, they were often turned into instruments of oppression.  Jews suffered from ‘legal’ persecution even more than they did from lawlessness: think the Inquisition, the Dhimmitude, the Nuremberg Laws, the Soviet show trials…  And it’s not always because of bad laws; often it’s about good laws that are twisted to promote hatred and perpetrate persecution.  Laws against murder have often been employed in blood libel accusations; those against treason were used to condemn Alfred Dreyfus…

One of Stalin's 'tribunals' delivers its verdict in 1937.  17 people were condemned - some to immediate execution, while others were eventually murdered in 'labour camps'. 


And now an international convention against genocide is being used to reward and succour a genocidal act.

I blame South Africa’s government, of course.  But then, there will always be slimy politicians eager to deflect people’s attention from their own woeful mismanagement – by pointing the finger at issues ‘out there’.

All South Africa did was to formulate a ridiculous claim – thousands of pathetic litigators do that each year.  In one such case, a plaintiff who choked on a Dorito crisp sued the supplier, arguing that the product was inherently dangerous.  After nine years of costly litigation, the claim was finally rejected by the Supreme Court of the State of Pennsylvania, with one judge referring wryly to

“the common sense notion that it is necessary to properly chew hard foodstuffs prior to swallowing.”

Which begs the question: where was the common sense of the judges who allowed that case to proceed and burn through taxpayers’ money for nine tedious years?

A clever lawyer can argue that Doritos are indeed dangerous – by ‘learnedly demonstrating’ that they (‘prima faciae,’ in certain ‘plausible’ ways and all that jazz) tick boxes in legal definitions of ‘potentially harmful products’.  S/he might even bring ‘expert witnesses’ ready to swear that people have indeed choked on crisps…  But a judge endowed with common sense will rule that Doritos are as much a ‘choking hazard’ as any other tasty snack.

Imagine if the judges would, a few days into those nine years of pointless litigation, ordered ‘provisional measures’ – for instance that the supplier must stop producing Doritos, to prevent the ‘plausible risk’ of people choking on them!

The ICJ judges should have thrown out South Africa’s claim as vexatious; as a politically motivated attempt at ‘legal’ harassment – even more absurd than the Doritos case.  That they did not do so is due to a combination of lack of integrity (in the case of some judges) and lack of common sense (for others).

A barrister friend of mine once quipped that judges are interested in law, not justice.  The International Court ‘of Justice’ (ICJ) isn’t different in that respect.  It seeks to apply what it sees as ‘the Law’.  But it shouldn’t do so mechanically, unthinkingly.  Justice may be blind, but it shouldn't be brainless.  Judges must deliver it without fear and favour, but with fairness.  In the absence of integrity and/or common sense, what they’ll deliver is oppression and injustice.

Portrayal of 'Justice': blind, but not batty!

True, the ICJ took pains to explain that it wasn’t (yet) making a determination on the actual claim of genocide.  But it found the ‘risk’ that Israel may commit genocide ‘plausible’ enough to allow the litigation to continue – and to order ‘provisional measures’ aimed at mitigating that ‘risk’!

It did so by suspending common sense and engaging – either deliberately or through fanatic adherence to words over facts – in a box-ticking exercise.  It’s all in the 29-page long ruling.  Which – unlike the thousands of journalists reporting and the millions of people talking about it – I took the time to read.  I also spent my precious time reading the five accompanying documents:

  • The Declaration of Judge Xue (China)
  • The Dissenting Opinion of Judge Sebutinde (Uganda)
  • The Declaration of Judge Bhandari (India)
  • The Declaration of Judge Nolte (Germany)
  • The Separate Opinion of Judge ad hoc Barak (Israel)

They make for an interesting reading!  So let’s analyse the judges ‘reasoning’ – such as it is.

Apparently clear, clearly apparent

The first question that the ruling addresses is that of jurisdiction: does the Court have (at least apparently or ‘prima faciae’) jurisdiction over this case?  In order for South Africa to sue Israel, it has to show that there is a “dispute” between the two states “relating to the interpretation, application or fulfilment of the present Convention”.  But South Africa is thousands of miles away from Israel.  What do they have to quarrel about?

Yet the Court ruled that there was a dispute:

“26. The Court notes that South Africa issued public statements . . . in which it expressed its view that . . . Israel’s actions amounted to violations of its obligations under the Genocide Convention.

. . .

27. The Court notes that Israel dismissed any accusation of genocide in the context of the conflict in Gaza…”

So there you are: South Africa accused and Israel denied, hence there’s a dispute – let’s go to court.  According to this ‘logic’, had Israel abstained from denying and just contemptuously held its piece in the face of South Africa’s angry accusations, there would’ve been no dispute and hence no Court jurisdiction over this case.  But once Israel denied…

Absurd, I know; but apparently sufficient for this Court to conclude:

“28. In light of the above, the Court considers that the Parties appear to hold clearly opposite views . . .  The Court finds that the above-mentioned elements are sufficient at this stage to establish prima facie the existence of a dispute between the Parties…”

The judges must’ve thought long and hard whether “the parties appear to hold clearly opposing views”, or rather ‘clearly hold apparently opposing views’!

Anyway… according to their ‘logic’, if you shout ‘your sister is a whore’ and I respond ‘but I have no sister’ – there’s ‘apparently a clear dispute’ that justifies Court intervention!

Innocent until found ‘plausible’

But is the Convention even applicable in this case?  The Court does not know – it hasn’t even begun to judge the merits of the claim.  This ruling isn’t about whether Israel committed genocide – it’s about ‘provisional measures’ to be ordered in the meantime.  It’s not even about ‘potentially’ – it’s about ‘plausibly’.

‘Plausible’ is such a great word!  Not even dictionaries agree what it really means.  Cambridge interprets it as

“seeming likely to be true, or able to be believed.”

while Merriam-Webster says it means

“superficially fair, reasonable, or valuable but often deceptively so.”

The two are apparently different, but to the Court one thing is clear: in the world of mere ‘plausibility’, there’s no need for evidence:

“30. At the present stage of the proceedings, the Court is not required to ascertain whether any violations of Israel’s obligations under the Genocide Convention have occurred.  Such a finding could be made by the Court only at the stage of the examination of the merits of the present case. . .  [A]t the stage of . . . provisional measures, the Court’s task is to establish whether the acts and omissions complained of by the applicant appear to be capable of falling within the provisions of the Genocide Convention.”

So there you are: if I say that Doritos are a choking hazard, this is enough to take Doritos off the market if, in the learned opinion of the Court, the allegations “appear to be capable of falling within” the provisions of food safety legislation.

But what’s all this to do with South Africa, anyway?  South Africa isn’t ‘at risk’ of genocide at the hands of those horrible Israelis – not even on ‘Planet Plausible’.  So what gives South Africa the right to sue or – in legal terms – what is South Africa’s ‘standing’?  I may be really disgusted by Donald Trump’s behaviour; but I cannot sue him for defaming E Jean Carroll.  He defamed, not me – so I have no ‘standing’.  Why does South Africa?

The Court ruled that, as an international treaty, the Convention is a form of contract, with any country that agreed to be bound by it a ‘party’ to the contract.  And so,

“any State party to the Genocide Convention may invoke the responsibility of another State party, including through the institution of proceedings before the Court…”

There you are, problem solved.  Anyone can sue anyone.  There are 152 such ‘parties’ to the Convention – each of them able to bring any of the other 151 before the Court!  In total (use this calculator if you don’t believe me) a possible 11,476 lawsuits.

But, even after granting South Africa ‘standing’, the Court is still left with a major issue: is it even remotely conceivable that Gaza may be subjected to ‘genocide’?  Either ‘clearly’, or ‘apparently’ – or both?  Even on ‘Planet Plausible’?

‘Just’ killing people – whether combatants or innocents, whether lawfully or criminally – isn’t genocide.  Otherwise every war would be a ‘genocide’.

Here the box-ticking exercise begins.  The Convention defines ‘genocide’ as

“any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:

(a) Killing members of the group;

(b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;

(c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;

(d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;

(e) Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group”.

Are Palestinians “a national, ethnical, racial or religious group”?  That in itself could be the subject of nine years of debate.  ‘Luckily’, we are still on ‘Planet Plausible’, where no evidence is required – it’s all about appearance:

“45. The Palestinians appear to constitute a distinct ‘national, ethnical, racial or religious group’, and hence a protected group…”

But why does the Convention say “in whole or in part”?  Isn’t genocide (as the name implies) an attempt to destroy the entire group?  Well, perhaps those who wrote the Convention wanted to prevent ‘defences’ like ‘but I don’t want to kill all the Jews, Your Honour!  Just the Zionists…’  I’m just speculating here!

Still: in previous debates, the Court has already established that wanting to kill just a few people isn’t genocide.  It has to be ‘substantial’ (whatever that means):

“[T]he intent must be to destroy at least a substantial part of the particular group”.

So how many Gazans were killed?  Again, we don’t need evidence – we just need ‘information,’ whether verified or not:

“While figures relating to the Gaza Strip cannot be independently verified, recent information indicates that 25,700 Palestinians have been killed, over 63,000 injuries have been reported, over 360,000 housing units have been destroyed or partially damaged and approximately 1.7 million persons have been internally displaced…”

The Court rather deceitfully attributes the “recent information” to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA).  But, of course, OCHA was merely quoting the ‘health ministry’ run by Hamas.  No matter – OCHA found Hamas data ‘plausible’ and the Court of course believes OCHA.  After all, the ‘International Court of Justice’, isn’t really a court and has little to do with justice; it is, just like OCHA, an organ of the United Nations.  Part and parcel of its structure and mechanisms.  One hand washes the other…

In the process, some of the judges demonstrate not just bias and partiality, but also superficiality and contempt for the facts.  In his Declaration (appended to the Court’s ruling), Judge Bhandari writes, inter alia:

“To date, however, more than 25,000 civilians in Gaza have reportedly lost their lives as a result of Israel’s military campaign…”

Of course, nobody – not even Hamas – claims that “more than 25,000 civilians” have been killed.  That would imply that the IDF failed to kill even one Hamas combatant.  (They must be fighting shadows in Gaza!)  In fact, the numbers published by the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza do not differentiate at all between civilians and combatants – but refer only to the gender and age group (adults or ‘children’) of the victims.  (I placed scare quotes around ‘children’, because Hamas’s definition of the term – below the age of 18 – does not unfortunately reflect the organisation’s recruiting practices.  There are ‘reportedly’ plenty of 16 and 17 year olds in the ranks of the jidadists).

“[M]ore than 25,000” was, at that time, the total number of Gazan fatalities –civilians and combatants – as alleged by Hamas.  That a judge sitting on the high and mighty International Court of Justice – no less – and deliberating on such grave allegations could get such a basic fact wrong is shocking.  And who knows how many other judges – who did not bother to append a separate Declaration – are equally poorly seized of the facts?

But even such egregious blunders are irrelevant in the big scheme of things.  Because, even if one were to accept at face value the numbers provided by Hamas, it would still be difficult – even for a UN agency – to claim that killing 25,700 people (out of a self-assessed 14.5 million Palestinians) is consistent with “intent . . . to destroy at least a substantial part of the particular group”.  That’s why the Court resorts to a sleight of hand:  It observes that

“according to United Nations sources, the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip comprises over 2 million people.  Palestinians in the Gaza Strip form a substantial part of the protected group.”

They do indeed.  And if the Israelis were intending to kill all 2 million of them, that would constitute a ‘plausible’ suspicion of genocide.  But do they?

Intent is essential when it comes to genocide.  In World War II, the Allies killed at least 5 million Germans, including circa 500,000 civilians killed by British and American airstrikes.  The Soviets worked to death another 500,000.  But, however “significant” those numbers were, this wasn’t genocide: what the Allies wanted was to win the war and remove the Nazis from power – not to destroy the German people as such.

In his Separate Opinion, Israeli judge Aharon Barak reminded the Court,

“[t]he drafters of the Genocide Convention clarified in their discussions that

‘[t]he infliction of losses, even heavy losses, on the civilian population in the course of operations of war, does not as a rule constitute genocide.  In modern war belligerents normally destroy factories, means of communication, public buildings, etc. and the civilian population inevitably suffers more or less severe losses.  It would of course be desirable to limit such losses. Various measures might be taken to achieve this end, but this question belongs to the field of the regulation of the conditions of war and not to that of genocide.’”

In other words, the number of casualties is rather irrelevant to the genocide/not genocide debate.  It is the intent that matters.

Twisting words to twist minds

In order to establish ‘plausible’ intent, the Court provided 3 quotes taken from public pronouncements by Israeli politicians.  But it did so only after quoting the head of UNRWA, who complained of “dehumanizing language” – as if worried that, without the prior warning, people might not recognise that language as “dehumanising”.  In passing, let us note that the head of UNRWA never accused Hamas of dehumanising and genocidal discourse, despite their Covenant overtly calling to the killing of all Jews!

Head of UNRWA, Philippe Lazzarini

But once again: ICJ is just another UN agency – and so is UNRWA.  The head of the latter is, apparently, infallible in the eyes of the ICJ judges – just like the Pope in the eyes of devoted Catholics.

Later in its ruling, using yet another sleight of hand, the Court refers to “direct and public incitement to commit genocide in relation to members of the Palestinian group in the Gaza Strip”.  This is merely a quote from the Convention (Article III) – but many will interpret those terms as referring to the same Israeli statements, previously referred to as ‘just’ “dehumanising”.

All three quotes, by the way, are from the days immediately following the 7 October massacre perpetrated by Hamas, so they are suffused with shock and anger.  The first (by Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant) was uttered on 10 October.  Here is the English transcript, as reproduced by the Court:

“I have released all restraints . . . You saw what we are fighting against. We are fighting human animals. This is the ISIS of Gaza. This is what we are fighting against . . . Gaza won’t return to what it was before. There will be no Hamas. We will eliminate everything. If it doesn’t take one day, it will take a week, it will take weeks or even months, we will reach all places.”

“[H]uman animals” may sound like dehumanising language.  But there is zero evidence that Gallant was referring to “a national, ethnical, racial or religious group”.  Quite the opposite: the comparison he makes is with ISIS – a terrorist organisation; emphatically not a protected group.  He describes the mission as fighting against “the ISIS of Gaza” – a phrase used extensively in Israel to refer to Hamas (including the oft-used hashtag #HamasIsISIS).  In describing Gaza after the Israeli operation, Gallant says There will be no Hamas”, not ‘there will be no Palestinians’.  So how exactly – even on Planet Plausible – is this “direct and public incitement to commit genocide”?

Israel’s leftist President Yitzhak Herzog is also quoted as saying, on 13 October:

“We are working, operating militarily according to rules of international law. Unequivocally. It is an entire nation out there that is responsible. It is not true this rhetoric about civilians not aware, not involved. It is absolutely not true. They could have risen up. They could have fought against that evil regime which took over Gaza in a coup d’état. But we are at war. We are at war. We are at war. We are defending our homes. We are protecting our homes. That’s the truth. And when a nation protects its home, it fights. And we will fight until we’ll break their backbone.”

Since the “rules of international law” prohibit the targeting of uninvolved civilians (not to mention genocide!), Mr. Herzog’s expressed commitment to those rules seems to preclude the notion of genocidal intent.  True, the Israeli President opines that ”an entire [Palestinian] nation . . . is responsible”.  But is that really a call to commit genocide?  Many people claim that the entire German people bore some level of collective responsibility (Kollektivschuld) for the Shoah; that they largely accepted – if not actively supported – Adolf Hitler and the Nazi regime; that they followed orders rather than standing up for basic morality; that they were aware of the genocide and yet remained largely silent.  All that does not mean that random Germans can be killed, let alone that the German people should be destroyed as such.  Assigning moral (or even legal) responsibility is one thing; inciting genocide is quite another.  As for “breaking their backbone”, who says that refers to “an entire nation” rather than to “that evil regime”, i.e. Hamas?

The ICJ quote leaves out other comments that Mr. Herzog made with the same occasion.  Here’s ITV’s International Affairs Editor Rageh Omar, reporting on that press conference:

“’… until we break their backbone.’

He [President Herzog] acknowledged that many Gazans had nothing to do with Hamas but was adamant that others did.

‘I agree there are many innocent Palestinians who don't agree with this, but if you have a missile in your goddamn kitchen and you want to shoot it at me, am I allowed to defend myself.  We have to defend ourselves, we have the full right to do so.’"

So Mr. Herzog makes a clear distinction between “many innocent Palestinians” and those who store and launch missiles.  The right of self-defence is invoked only against the latter group.  Hardly “direct and public incitement to commit genocide”.  Or even “dehumanizing language”!

Finally, the ICJ ruling quotes a tweet by Israel Katz, currently Israel’s Minister of Foreign Affairs.  On 13 October 2023, when he was Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Mr. Katz posted:

“We will fight the terrorist organization Hamas and destroy it.  All the civilian population in [G]aza is ordered to leave immediately. We will win. They will not receive a drop of water or a single battery until they leave the world.”

Mr. Katz also draws a clear distinction between “the terrorist organization Hamas” and “the civilian population in [G]aza”.  Only the former is to be destroyed, while the latter is ordered to get out of the way.  It is pretty clear that the “they” who are supposed to “leave the world” are Hamas – otherwise why make the distinction at all?

If that’s the ‘best’ that can be found as evidence of “direct and public incitement to commit genocide” by Israeli leaders, it decidedly represents slim pickings.

And why would the Court ignore the many statements by Israeli leaders making it clear that the target is Hamas, not the population of Gaza as such?  Here’s a selection of such statements – but there are many similar ones.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, on 16 November 2023:

"Any civilian death is a tragedy . . . we're doing everything we can to get the civilians out of harm's way . . . we'll try to finish that job with minimal civilian casualties. That's what we're trying to do: minimal civilian casualties.”

Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, 29 October 2023:

“We are not fighting the Palestinian multitude and the Palestinian people in Gaza.”

Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, on 18 December 2023:

“[O]ur war against Hamas, the Hamas terrorist organization, is a war — it’s not a war against the people of Gaza.  We are fighting a brutal enemy that hides behind civilians.”

President Yitzhak Herzog, on 19 December 2023:

“One thing is clear: The people of Gaza are not our enemy. The enemy is only Hamas.  And we’re fighting Hamas and its partners.”

Minister Israel Katz tweeted on 14 October (in Hebrew, translation mine):

“The purpose of the movement [of civilians] southwards is to prevent the Hamas murderers from using the population as human shields, to save lives and to remove the threat posed by those Nazis.”

Words can be twisted, statements can be taken out of context, ill-intentions can – if someone is so inclined – be inferred from imprecise language.  But real incitement?  Here’s an example of “dehumanising language” and of genuine “direct and public incitement to commit genocide”:

“For us, this [the ‘Jewish problem’] is not a problem you can turn a blind eye to-one to be solved by small concessions.  For us, it is a problem of whether our nation can ever recover its health, whether the Jewish spirit can ever really be eradicated.  Don't be misled into thinking you can fight a disease without killing the carrier, without destroying the bacillus.  Don't think you can fight racial tuberculosis without taking care to rid the nation of the carrier of that racial tuberculosis.  This Jewish contamination will not subside, this poisoning of the nation will not end, until the carrier himself, the Jew, has been banished from our midst.”

Taken verbatim from a speech given by Adolf Hitler in 1920, this is a very relevant example.  Not because Israeli leaders should ever be compared to the Nazis, but because this is the type of statement that the authors of the Genocide Convention had in mind when, shortly after the end of World War II, they wanted to prohibit “direct and public incitement to commit genocide”.

Perhaps sensing that the evidence of “incitement” is embarrassingly thin, the judges resorted to quoting ‘witnesses’:

“53. The Court also takes note of a press release of 16 November 2023, issued by 37 Special Rapporteurs, Independent Experts and members of Working Groups part of the Special Procedures of the United Nations Human Rights Council, in which they voiced alarm over ‘discernibly genocidal and dehumanising rhetoric coming from senior Israeli government officials’. In addition, on 27 October 2023, the United Nations Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination observed that it was ‘[h]ighly concerned about the sharp increase in racist hate speech and dehumanization directed at Palestinians since 7 October’.”

The problem is that these are not witnesses – they are UN employees with a long history of anti-Israel bias.  But even ignoring that bias, it beggars belief that judges would quote non-specific hearsay as ‘evidence’ (however ‘prima faciae’).  If ‘s/he said, they said’ were taken to represent evidence, we would all be criminals on our way to prison!

No wonder that Israeli Judge Aharon Barak – himself a stickler for ‘the Law’ above all else – said that the Court’s ruling was based on “scant evidence”.

Ugandan Judge Sebutinde stated that “there are . . . no indicators of incitement to commit genocide”.

Even the German Judge Nolte (who voted in favour of the ruling) was forced to admit that South Africa had not “plausibly shown . . . genocidal intent.”

We’ve no idea what you’re doing – but make sure you don’t!

And yet it’s based on such flimsy non-evidence that the Court decided that the ‘risk of genocide’ to Palestinians in Gaza was ‘plausible’ enough to warrant ‘provisional measures’.

On the other hand, the Court did refuse to order Israel to cease its military operations in Gaza.  Now, this is interesting.  Not only did South Africa request such an order (it was first and foremost among its demands); but also the Court acted in contradiction with its own very recent precedent: on 16 March 2022, it ordered Russia to “immediately suspend the military operations . . . in the territory of Ukraine”.

So if the Court truly believed that the Jewish state was harbouring ‘plausible intent’ to commit genocide in Gaza, how come it allowed it to continue its military operations in that territory?  If I genuinely suspected that they are a choking hazard, why on earth would I allow Doritos to continue to be manufactured and sold?

But, of course, the judges don’t really believe that South Africa’s claims have any merit.  They are just going through the motions, immersed in their ‘learned’ box-ticking exercise and practising the suspension of common sense.  This was, after all, just a ruling on ‘provisional measures’ with no bearing on the final verdict…  In the mind-boggling words of Judge Nolte:

“Even though I do not find it plausible that the [Israeli] military operation is being conducted with genocidal intent, I voted in favour of the measures indicated by the Court.”

Read: ‘even though there’s no Israeli genocide, I voted to protect the Gazans from the Israeli genocide…’

But what ‘provisional measures’ did the Court indicate?  Besides the request to impose a cessation of Israel’s military operations, South Africa requested the Court to order as follows:

“The Republic of South Africa and the State of Israel shall each, in accordance with their obligations under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, in relation to the Palestinian people, take all reasonable measures within their power to prevent genocide.”

This was a bridge too far even for this court: as proposed, the text would conceivably have given the South Africa an excuse (or even a licence) to intervene militarily in Gaza, in order “to prevent genocide”!

Instead, the ICJ ordered

“[t]he State of Israel . . . [to] take all measures within its power to prevent the commission of all acts within the scope of Article II of this [Genocide] Convention”

There are almost as many absurdities as there are words in the sentence above.

Firstly, the order is addressed to “[t]he State of Israel”.  But states (or nations) are abstract constructs.  States don’t make decisions – governments and leaders do.  Quite obviously, states as such cannot harbour intent, such as “intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group”.

And what the hell does it mean to “take all measures within its power to prevent the commission” of genocide?  As we have seen from the definition included in the Convention, genocides don’t just ‘happen’, they are perpetrated.  Killing people – even killing a lot of people – isn’t genocide, unless the killing is perpetrated with a particular intent.  Either the government of the State of Israel harbours such intent (in which case it should be ordered to abandon it or not to implement it in practice), or it doesn’t – in which case whom and how is it supposed to “prevent”?  Indeed, given the way in which the ICJ order is worded, the Israeli government might interpret it as an injunction to continue to fight Hamas, in order to prevent that terror organisation from committing “all acts within the scope of Article II of this [Genocide] Convention”.

But what if we interpret the order as saying (albeit in an exceedingly vague, convoluted and imprecise manner) ‘Government of Israel, you are hereby ordered not to commit genocide in Gaza’?  Put like this, such order may sound quite stern; but it goes no farther than the legal obligations that Israel had anyway – prior to and independent of the ICJ order; obligations that Israeli leaders do not contest at all.

As Judge Sebutinde wrote:

“In my view, the First [provisional] measure obligating Israel to ‘take all measures within its power . . .’ effectively mirrors the obligation already incumbent upon Israel . . . and is therefore redundant.”

In fact, 5 out of the 6 ‘provisional measures’ prescribed by the ICJ fall in the same category of redundant injunctions: they ‘order’ Israel to do what it is in any case legally obliged to do.  That’s like issuing a court order to the Doritos supplier to ‘take all measures within its power to prevent the sale of products that contravene the Food Safety Bill’.

Ordering the unreasonable

But there’s more: extreme as it was, the South African proposal referred to “all reasonable measures within their power”.  In its lack of wisdom, the ICJ decided to do one better: the judges took away the term “reasonable” and left just “all measures within its power”.  This enables someone to argue that Israel must do absolutely everything in its power – however extreme, disproportionate and unreasonable.

Say Hamas were shooting rockets into Israel from within a residential building; Israel would presumably have to send its soldiers on a bayonet charge in order to remove the threat.  After all, a bayonet charge is definitely “within its power”, while bombing the building risks

“(a) killing members of the group,”

something that Israel has been ordered not to do.  But even a bayonet charge may not satisfy the judges, as it won’t completely eliminate that risk – let alone the risk of

“(b) causing serious bodily or mental harm to the members of the group;”

So perhaps Israel is obliged to do nothing at all in such a case.  Doing nothing is, arguably, “within its power” and presents no risk of genocide.  Well, not against the Palestinians, anyway!

Three of the ICJ judges are native English speakers.  Don’t they understand that the antonym of ‘reasonable’ is…  ‘unreasonable’??

As for the 6th ‘provisional measure’ (the only one that isn’t superfluous by definition), the Court ordered Israel to

“submit a report to the Court on all measures taken to give effect to this Order”.

And to do so “within one month” (rather than within one week, as South Africa requested).

We know what the Court intends to do with that report:

“The report so provided shall then be communicated to South Africa, which shall be given the opportunity to submit to the Court its comments thereon.”

But we also know (and so should the Court) what South Africa’s comments will be.  After all, South Africa wanted the ICJ to order Israel to “immediately suspend its military operations in and against Gaza”.  So, unless Israel offered to do exactly that (despite not having been ordered to), South Africa will surely argue that Israel’s “measures” are insufficient – that they do not completely “prevent” genocide.  And how exactly will the Court assess what really is “all measures within its power” etc. etc. – and what isn’t?  Will the Court (which lacks any military expertise) end up dictating specifically what should be done in the field and how – and thus in effect put itself in charge of IDF operations?  Even more importantly: exactly how is all this relevant to the issue of intent – which is the crux of the matter when it comes to genocide?

Some – including Israelis and Diaspora Jews – have tried to find consolation in the following paragraph of the ICJ ruling:

“85. The Court deems it necessary to emphasize that all parties to the conflict in the Gaza Strip are bound by international humanitarian law. It is gravely concerned about the fate of the hostages abducted during the attack in Israel on 7 October 2023 and held since then by Hamas and other armed groups, and calls for their immediate and unconditional release.”

In my opinion, rather than improving, this paragraph makes the ruling – if it were possible – even more outrageous.

The paragraph has no place in a case of genocide – it is a transparent political attempt to ‘demonstrate’ even-handedness.  To ‘call’ for the release of hostages is the language of empty diplomacy, not of law.  If the Court wanted to deliver a meaningful gesture, then it should have joined Judge Sebutinde, who remarked, with thin irony:

“In its Request for provisional measures, South Africa emphasised that both Parties to these proceedings have a duty to act in accordance with their obligations under the Genocide Convention . . . leaving one wondering what positive contribution the Applicant could make towards defusing the ongoing conflict there. During the oral proceedings in the present case, it was brought to the attention of the Court that South Africa, and in particular certain organs of government, have enjoyed and continue to enjoy a cordial relationship with the leadership of Hamas. If that is the case, then one would encourage South Africa as a party to these proceedings and to the Genocide Convention, to use whatever influence they might wield, to try and persuade Hamas to immediately and unconditionally release the remaining hostages, as a good will gesture. I have no doubt that such a gesture of good will would go a very long way in defusing the current conflict in Gaza.”

I would add (with plenty of Zionist irony and zero expectations) that the UN, including the ICJ, views Gaza as part of the State of Palestine.  So – having expressed ‘grave concern’ for the Israeli hostages – shouldn’t the Court order the State of Palestine to “take all measures in its power” to bring about their release?  For starters, how about indicting the leaders of Hamas for an obvious war crime perpetrated – in theory at least – under the jurisdiction of the State of Palestine?

Stupidity has consequences

So let me summarise: the International Court of Justice’s failure to recognise South Africa’s application as vexatious, politically motivated and fundamentally without merits will ensure that this ‘legal’ circus will now perform for years, abusing public money, misusing resources, poisoning international relations and distracting attention from genuine issues.

The ‘provisional measures’ ordered by the Court are not just unnecessary, but pointless and irrational.

Unfortunately, however, this is not all.  By their failure to apply common sense, their blind dive into legalistic detail at the expense of assessing the bigger picture and (in some cases at least) their lack of integrity, the judges have produced a series of severely deleterious consequences.  I will analyse some of them below – not necessarily in the order of gravity.

Firstly, this harms the reputation of the Court – such as it is.  The ICJ has no enforcement power (both USA and Russia have already treated its rulings with contempt) and relies entirely on reputation to lend it any sort of influence.

Secondly (and more importantly), by ‘playing along’ with South Africa’s charade, the judges trivialised the notion of genocide (aptly called ‘crime of crimes’) and made a mockery of one of the most important international agreements arising from the inferno of World War II.  Their ruling –now elevated to the rank of ‘existing jurisprudence’ – guarantees that the Convention for the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide and similar agreements will increasingly be abused.  They will more and more become political tools, instruments of ‘lawfare’, additional ways for dictators, corrupt governments and rogue regimes to harass other nations.  Expect an inflation of ‘genocides’ and other specious accusations that (since the Court has set the bar of ‘plausibility’ so low) will now have to be examined and will produce a flurry of devalued ‘provisional measures’ and ‘rulings’ that – increasingly – nobody will give a damn about.

Thirdly, such frivolous ‘judicial’ process will surely discourage states from joining the Genocide Convention – and other international instruments.  Currently, 153 states are members of the Convention, while 41 UN members states are not.  But among the member states, many (including USA, Russia and China) have joined with reservations and objections.  Many of these reservations (including one submitted by USA) deny ICJ jurisdiction – unless expressly accepted by the member state in question.  Israel signed the Convention (with no reservations) in August 1949 – almost immediately after the end of its War of Independence and much earlier than the UK (1970) and USA (1988).  But knowing what they know now, what conceivable Israeli government would voluntarily put itself under ICJ jurisdiction?  Would Israel (and other countries) sign existing and future treaties, knowing that they can be used maliciously, to ‘legally’ harass them?

Fourthly, far from bringing about peace and understanding, accepting such tendentious claims serves only to sow discord among states and nations.  The ICJ procedure allows states to ‘intervene’ in favour of one side or the other – which of course results in the creation of acrimonious, bitterly opposed ‘coalitions’.  In one case, no less than 32 different countries ‘intervened’ in such a dispute.  More worryingly, this is likely to make peace between Israelis and Palestinians even more unlikely.  As Judge Sebutinde opined, “the dispute between the State of Israel and the people of Palestine is essentially and historically a political one, calling for a diplomatic or negotiated settlement” – rather than a legal dispute to be resolved in court.  We are looking now at years of litigation, during which the Palestinian leadership would pretend at least to believe Israel guilty of genocide.  How is that leadership then expected to ‘sell’ to their own people making concessions to ‘perpetrators of genocide’?

From ‘never again’ to ‘again and again’

But I left the saddest and most upsetting consequence for last.  Think about it: why genocide?  This is a rarely used accusation.  In fact, in 75 years the Convention has only been legally invoked only twice before:

  • In 1993, Bosnia-Herzegovina sued Yugoslavia for alleged genocide perpetrated against its Muslim (Bosniak) population. More than 30,000 Bosniak civilians had been killed (out of a population of circa 1.8 million).  Bosniaks represented more than 80% of the total number of civilians killed in that war.  Yet the ICJ ruled that no genocide had been perpetrated – except in one particular instance: the massacre of Srebrenica.
  • In 2019, the African state of Gambia sued Myanmar, alleging that the latter committed genocide against its Muslim Rohingya population. Circa 25,000 had been killed and 750,000 fled to Bangladesh.  The case is still being tried.

Needless to say, a lot of other mass atrocities – which many claim were genocide – took place in those 75 year.  One can point for instance at Indonesia (1965-1966, at least 500,000 deaths), Bangladesh (1971, at least 300,000), Cambodia (1975-1979, at least 1.5 million), Guatemala (1981-1983, c. 166,000), East Timor (1975-1983, at least 100,000), Rwanda (1994, at least 500,000), Ethiopia (ongoing), Sudan (ongoing), China/Xinjiang (ongoing)…

In the Middle East alone, genocide is alleged to have taken place in that period against Kurds, Marsh Arabs, Christians, Yazidis, Shabaks and Turkmens.

None of those instances (some of which continued for years or are still ongoing) was brought before the ICJ – although some countries ‘recognised’ those atrocities as genocide.  So we are entitled to ask – why Israel?  What makes the conflict in Gaza (only 100 days after it was started by the rulers of that territory) different?  Why is the Jewish state only the 3rd country in 75 years to be formally accused of this ‘crime of crimes’ – and dragged before the international court?

Accusations of war crimes against Israel are not a new thing.  Nor are a host of other allegations: massacres, ethnic cleansing, apartheid, land grab, etc. etc.  But let’s be clear: genocide is not ‘more of the same’ – it is (or should be) in a category of its own.  The most well-known genocide in history is the Shoah – the systematic, industrial-style extermination of the Jewish population of Europe.  The term itself was coined by a Jew (Raphael Lemkin) in 1944 – as a generic category for the Shoah, for what Churchill initially called “a crime without a name”.

That, a few decades later, the Jewish state (‘the Jew among nations’) finds itself accused that that exact crime is not by chance; it’s symptomatic.

Israeli psychiatrist Zvi Rex once remarked:

"The Germans will never forgive the Jews for Auschwitz.”

But, of course, it wasn’t just the Germans and not just at Auschwitz.  To paraphrase Rex, the world has never forgiven the Jews for the Shoah.  It seeks to assuage pangs of conscience by discovering new ‘reasons’ to hate the Jews.  German social psychologist Peter Schönbach called this ‘push back’ against feelings of guilt ‘secondary antisemitism.

Most European and America Jews are shocked by the current ‘sudden eruption’ of antisemitism.  They did not personally experience such intense hostility in the past, so they view it as a new phenomenon.  But nothing is farther from the truth.  Of course, after the Shoah it became less acceptable to manifest overt antisemitism in the street.  But antisemitic ideation continued in ‘scholarly’ circles, under the excuse of ‘academic research’ and academic freedom.  It grew and fermented in that fertile environment, before first seeping and then bursting out in the open.

The crudest form of secondary antisemitism is Holocaust denial.  It is still very much ‘out there’, but more ‘subtle’ varieties have been developed.  In both ‘über-progressive’ and far right circles, there is widespread universalisation, trivialisation and banalisation of the Shoah.  As early as 1949, German philosopher Martin Heidegger was comparing “the production of corpses in gas chambers and extermination camps” with… modern agriculture.

While such far-fetched ‘metaphors’ may be relatively rare, it has become commonplace to refer to the Shoah as ‘just another’ genocide – and even to imply that it is surpassed in importance by other historic phenomena: the Atlantic slave trade, the colonial oppression, capitalist exploitation, anti-black racism in USA, homo- or transphobia, etc.

Reflecting precisely this tendency, in 2011 Jeremy Corbyn (at the time a Labour Party backbencher, but later elected to lead that party) submitted a proposal to change the name of Holocaust Memorial Day to “Genocide Memorial Day – Never Again For Anyone,” to reflect that “Nazism targeted not only Jewish [people]”.

But the ultimate form of secondary antisemitism is ‘Holocaust inversion’.  If one can claim that Jews are now the ones committing genocide – then feelings of guilt are no longer required.  Quite the opposite – one can signal one’s virtue by fighting (at no risk to life or limb) against the ‘Zionists’ (portrayed as the new Nazis) and in defence of the Palestinians – the new ‘Jews’.

The post above has been 'liked' by almost 10,000 X (formerly Twitter) accounts.


In hard-left and hard-right circles, accusations of genocide against Israel are nothing new.  But South Africa’s ICJ application is meant to give it a ‘seal of approval’ and bring this ‘perfected’ version of secondary antisemitism into the mainstream.  In this context, it does not matter if, 5 or 7 years from now, the Court will acquit the Jewish state.  No, the damage was done the moment the judges agreed to try the case – the minute they declared that accusation ‘plausible’.  Future historians will look at 26 January as a watershed moment.

On the eve of Holocaust Memorial Day, the International Court of Justice legitimised Holocaust inversion.  ‘Never again’ was used to promote ‘again and again’.

Ghazi Hamad (a senior leader of Hamas) says that the latter will strike "again and again", until Israel is "removed"

Wednesday, 3 June 2015

FIFA, shm-IFA

To those of us lucky enough to live in free countries, the word ‘elections’ is full of positive connotations; it brings to mind democracy and freedom of choice.  But for that majority of the world population straining under totalitarian rule, ‘election’ means worse than an exercise in futility: it adds insult to injury by throwing the mockery of freedom in the face of those who have none.  The recent FIFA ‘elections’ fell precisely in that category.  More than 200 national football associations were represented and could vote in those elections; but, with the exception of a minority – those originating from the Free World – those associations are nothing but branches of totalitarian regimes.  They do not care about sport, about football; they are there to defend the political interests and boost the stature of the ruling regimes.

Little wonder, therefore, that FIFA is corrupt to the bone – so are the regimes themselves.  Little wonder that, despite the recurring, grotesque, enormous scandals, the same President has been re-elected over and over again with the votes of the unfree, heading FIFA’s ruling junta for almost two decades; after all, isn’t this precisely how things are done in dictatorships??

But if you think that FIFA is the most scandalous case – think again.  This is not an exception – it is the norm in ‘international bodies’ in which democracies and dictatorships are ‘represented’ and vote on equal footing.  It is the norm, for instance, in each and every one of United Nations’ many assemblies, councils, commissions and committees.  If you think that it is ridiculous for FIFA to re-elect a President on whose watch corruption has reached gargantuan proportions, then have a look at these ludicrous (nay, tragic!) facts: the current membership of the ‘United’ Nations Human Rights Council (yes, Human Rights!) includes Saudi Arabia, Qatar, China, Russia, Morocco, Algeria, Vietnam, Cuba...  These ‘human rights luminaries’ far outnumber democracies like UK, France and Netherlands and practically drive the agenda of the Council.  In 2014, the ‘Islamic Republic’ of Iran was elected (by fellow tyrannical regimes) to sit on the UN Commission for the Status of Women!  I mean Iran – where women are harassed on the streets by the ‘morality police’ and where the ‘law’ prescribes 70 lashes or 60 days in prison for women ‘revealing in public’ more than their hands and faces!

When at the ‘United’ Nations abhorrent oppressors are in charge of ‘human rights’ and male supremacists hold sway on the status of women, are you still surprised that they set the tone at FIFA??

Blatter has now resigned; there’s at least a chance that FIFA will be cleaned up.  But the much more influential ‘United’ Nations will remain un-purged, mired in deeply entrenched, cynical, disgusting immorality.

And why is this happening?  Needless to say, the fault lies with the dictators, with the tyrants themselves; but they could not do it alone – not without accomplices.  Those accomplices are the ‘leaders’ of democratic nations, who – rudderless in the ocean of moral relativism – keep ‘engaging' with the despots, in effect collaborating with them to the point of handing them control over international institutions.  'Engaging'???  We would never contemplate thieves acting as judges and murderers sitting on a jury; we wouldn’t even countenance crooks on the Board of a commercial company.  Yet we allow them to call the shots not just at FIFA, but – appallingly – at the ‘United’ Nations.  And it is not that we can’t do anything about it, no: we actually hold the power!  In fact, it is the democratic, free world that typically provides the funds that allow those institutions – whether FIFA or the UN – to function.

Between 2011 and 2014, FIFA received revenues of $5.7 billion – more than the annual economic output of the African nation of Togo.  But, trust me, it did not come from Togo!  FIFA says that it got the money by selling television rights (43%), marketing rights (29%) and ‘other revenue’ (28%).  And who pays for television and marketing rights?  I doubt that Togo’s national broadcaster Télévision Togolaise can pay for a minute of Sepp Blatter’s time, let alone a minute of a World Cup match.  No, friends, it is us, the inhabitants of the Free World, who are – indirectly but very, very dearly – paying the lion’s share of FIFA’s money.  It is we who fund the broadcasters that pay for television rights; it is to us that World Cup sponsors sell their goods.

The situation is not much different at the ‘United’ Nations.  In 2014, the ‘United’ Nations voted itself an annual budget of $5.5 billion.  This is the so-called ‘core budget’, as it does not include non-core business such as peace-keeping ($7 billion), as well as a host of other expenses separately funded by member states.

Some Nations are more 'United' than others...
And who coughs up the dosh?  You got it, friends: it’s us!  USA alone supplies 22% of UN’s money.  And by the time one adds Japan, Canada, Australia, South Korea and the top 6 European countries, the Free World’s bill easily exceeds two-thirds of the ‘United’ budget.

And what does all that mean?  Well, I hate to break it to you, folks: it means we’re all in the dock; we’re in cahoots with criminals, we are their enablers.  Whether we like it or not, we did not just provide the money that allowed Sepp Blatter to run his MaFI(F)A; shockingly, we pay for the mockery that is the ‘United’ Nations.

Revolting as you may find it, we share the guilt.  Whenever another Saudi citizen is denied his/her rights, tortured or executed (90 have been ‘legally’ beheaded so far in 2015), a bit of that sweat and blood is on our heads; after all, it is with our money that the Saudi ‘representative’ (some ‘Prince’ or other – no princesses allowed) was enthroned at the ‘United’ Nations Human Rights Council, there to shield his medieval monarchy from well-deserved opprobrium.

Sorry, folks: I know it is not us ordinary Joes; it’s the bloody politicians who choose to cavort with tyrants.  But we elected the politicians; and we allow them to do it.  And as long as we do that, as long as we remain silent while our hard-earned money enables the crimes, we shoulder a portion of their guilt.  Can you feel it, my brothers, my fellow men?  Can you feel the humiliation of the Iranian woman harangued in the middle of the road and told to dress as a black walking coffin – or else?  Can you sense the desperation of the Tibetan monk who immolates himself to protest Chinese oppression?  Can you hear the silent scream of the emaciated immigrant worked to death in Qatar?


If you do – if, like me, you are sick of seeing your money misused and your goodwill abused, your conscience soiled and your intelligence mocked – then tell your politicians how you feel about it.  Let them know that if they keep robbing us of what we most cherish – our integrity – we’ll deprive them of what they most desire: their power.

Sunday, 24 August 2014

#UNRWAout

For years, Israeli officials have claimed that civilian infrastructure in Gaza – including that funded and operated by the UN – was used by Hamas for military purposes: to store ammunition, protect combatants and launch attacks against Israel.  UN officials – from local operatives to the Secretary General – always rejected such Israeli claims.  Unfortunately for the ‘United’ Nations, facts have a way of speaking louder than the most assertive denials.  At least three times times during the current Hamas-Israel conflagration, rockets were found stored in Gazan schools operated by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA); the same schools that UNRWA turned into shelters for displaced Gazans and for which it demands (from Israel) the status of ‘sacred and inviolable sanctuary’.  One can only wonder how many other schools and other such humanitarian enterprises were used for military purposes, without the fact being discovered and reported.

UNRWA spokesman (and chronic Israel-basher) Chris Gunness was forced to 'also condemn' 'neutrality violations' (read: war crimes) committed by 'the other side' (i.e. not Israel -- the side he usually condemns!)

Confronted with the fact, UNRWA had to promise an investigation into how the rockets got there: after all, an obvious and undeniable war crime had been committed under their very noses.  So far, however, no culprit was found.  Which is strange: identifying the criminals should not – forgive the pun – be rocket science; such missiles cannot be smuggled into a school hidden in someone’s pocket; they are large, heavy tools of death, complete with detonator, fuel and explosive head, everything sheathed in a metal casing filled with shrapnel-generating steel balls.  Transporting 20 such rockets to the site would have necessitated at least one lorry and the efforts of several adult men.  This could not have been perpetrated without ‘inside help’, without the cooperation of at least some of UNRWA’s personnel.

Notably absent was any UNRWA corrective action aimed at ensuring non-recurrence.  Instead, UNRWA issued a few short statements, consisting entirely of empty words and ‘assurances’.

The fact that UNRWA schools are used as weapon caches is bad enough; that the UN agency apparently does nothing to identify the perpetrators is worse.  But wait until you hear the worst: what does UNRWA do, once the rockets were found?  Does it confiscate them?  Does it ask for international help to destroy or decommission them?  Does it even leave them in place under UN supervision?  No, none of the above; UNRWA simply hands the rockets to ‘the local Palestinian authorities’.  Which, as we know, in Gaza means ‘Hamas’.  At which point, UNRWA officially becomes not just a passive and negligent accessory, but a genuine accomplice to a war crime.  After all, even the fervently anti-Israel ‘United’ Nations had to admit that Hamas’s indiscriminate launching of rockets against Israeli villages, towns and cities constitutes a war crime.  It is not inconceivable that one of the rockets that caused casualties in Israel (including the recent death of a 4-years-old child) originated in the UNRWA school cache so graciously ‘returned’ by this ‘humanitarian agency’ into the hands of a terrorist organisation.

All this may be surprising news to some; it certainly should be disturbing news to USA and European taxpayers, who foot the bill for UNRWA’s activity, including the salaries of the agency’s extensive staff.  But it comes as no surprise to Israel or to those of us who have followed UNRWA’s activity through the years.  It is certainly no surprise that some or most of the agency’s local employees should collaborate with Hamas.  After all, Peter Hansen, UNRWA's former Commissioner-General (1996–2005), stated in an interview with CBC TV:
"Oh, I am sure that there are Hamas members on the UNRWA payroll and I don't see that as a crime. Hamas as a political organization does not mean that every member is a militant and we do not do political vetting and exclude people from one persuasion as against another.  We demand of our staff, whatever their political persuasion is, that they behave in accordance with UN standards and norms for neutrality."
In addition to being ludicrous (in believing that his ‘demand’ carried more weight than the orders of the Hamas ‘political organisation’), Mr. Hansen’s statement was blatantly immoral: it whitewashed, using UN imprimatur, an organisation which was at the time busy blowing up Israeli buses and restaurants – and whose political’ leadership was on record praising such acts as ‘heroic’.

But, however indecent, Hansen’s statement was actually understating the problem: the truth is not that “there are Hamas members on the UNRWA payroll”; the truth is that they are the vast majority.  The undeniable reality is that those who run every UNRWA school and kindergarten – from the janitor to the head teacher – are Hamas members.  They are paid salaries by the ‘United’ Nations (and ultimately by American and European taxpayers, who fund the entire operation) to brainwash young, unsuspecting minds, ‘educating’ a new generation of suicide bombers.

Almost 40% of UNRWA’s total personnel are located in Gaza, nearly twice as many as in Syria and Lebanon taken together.  In effect, UNRWA’s payroll provides a very welcome financial contribution to Hamas: the (currently cash-strapped) terrorist organisation can place its supporters in UNRWA positions, rather than having to pay their salaries itself.  There is, of course, a more direct contribution to Hamas’s administration: Gaza Strip absorbed in 2013 30% of UNRWA’s budget; again, considerably more than was spent in Syria and Lebanon, despite the number of registered ‘refugees’ being roughly similar. 

UNRWA’s local staff consists almost entirely of Gazans; but the ‘senior management’ includes ‘United’ Nations bureaucrats of Western origin.  Typically, these are professional political activists masquerading as ‘humanitarian workers’, harbouring deep-seated ideological sympathies for ‘Palestinian cause’ and (although not as overtly) for Hamas.  No wonder then, that rather than focusing on purely humanitarian issues, UNRWA is so active in anti-Israel advocacy.

But why is it that UNRWA exists, in the first place?  Like any ethnic strife, the 1947-1949 Arab-Jewish war generated a host of refugees: both Jews and Arabs fled the areas occupied by the enemy; both populations viewed  thatas bent on indiscriminate violence; since the Jewish State ultimately survived and emerged victorious, considerably more Arabs than Jews were displaced.  But this ‘imbalance’ was soon corrected by a combination of official persecution and overt pogroms throughout the Arab world, which caused nearly one million Jews to flee, mostly to Israel, France, USA and UK.

UNRWA (the full name is United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East) was established in December 1949, though (with the efficiency that would make the ‘United’ Nations legendary) it only started to operate 16 months later.

Why ‘Palestine refugees’?  Because the intention was to care for ALL refugees from the former British Mandate of Palestine – Arabs AND Jews.  But the newly formed body quickly decided that the Jews (600,000 lived in Israel at the time) could take care of their own.  The circa 100 million Arabs also could, but were much less inclined to.  So the agency set out to take care exclusively of the circa 650,000 Arab refugees.  Most people today (including, it seems, UNRWA’s leadership) believe that ‘Palestine refugee’ means ‘Palestinian refugee’, although the term ‘Palestinian’ with its current meaning hadn’t been invented yet.
The Agency’s mandate, as established by UN General Assembly Resolution 302, was double:
(a)          To carry out in collaboration with local governments the direct relief and works programmes as recommended by the Economic Survey Mission;(b)          To consult with the interested Near Eastern Governments concerning measures to be taken by them preparatory to the time when international assistance for relief and works projects is no longer available;
Of course, nowhere did that mandate include any sort of political activism; UN member states voting in favour of the resolution (including Israel) envisaged UNRWA as an apolitical organisation, charged to deliver temporary humanitarian assistance, as well as help bring about a situation in which the refugees would no longer need such assistance.

But that mandate was a far cry from what the Agency actually did.  Like any bureaucracy, UNRWA generated work for itself and concerned itself much more with its own preservation and growth, than with rendering itself redundant by ‘weaning’ the refugees off the international hand-outs.  Thus, rather than tending for the refugees’ short term humanitarian needs, as per the mandate, the Agency took over long-term needs such as general healthcare and education – which are the duties of states.

Not only that; the original UNGA Resolution neglected to define who actually may be considered a ‘Palestine refugee’.  Rather than requesting clarifications from the member states which approved the Resolution, UNRWA crafted a definition of its own.  This ‘white elephant’ of a definition establishes that Palestine refugees are
 “persons whose normal place of residence was Palestine during the period 1 June 1946 to 15 May 1948, and who lost both home and means of livelihood as a result of the 1948 conflict.”
The British authorities had of course maintained a register of the mandate’s population – but the Agency decided to ignore such simple test.  Less than 2 years of residence – legal or illegal – were thus deemed sufficient to qualify for Palestine refugee-dom.  And, of course, since hard evidence was never required – either for residence or for the loss of home and means of livelihood – the number of refugees swelled.  With ‘Palestine refugee’ status a passport to financial and material support, plus free education and healthcare, there was (and is) plenty of incentive to achieve and maintain that status – and no incentive at all (either by the refugees themselves or the host state) for integration.

But UNRWA went one step further: incredibly, it expanded its already super-liberal definition – and did so by adopting – lock, stock and barrel –laws and policies reeking of racism and gender discrimination.  According to this shameless expansion
"The descendants of Palestine refugee males [but not females], including adopted children, are also eligible for registration [as refugees]."
Thus, a UN agency placed its seal of approval on one of the most shameful practices: that of denial of citizenship.  In Lebanon, Syria, Egypt and throughout the Arab Middle East (except for Jordan), children born (often for 3 generations!) in the country are denied citizenship because of their ancestors’ origin – although they are indistinguishable ethnically, culturally and linguistically from the rest of the population.  A classic example of apartheid regime – if ever there was one!  But one UNRWA is quite happy to work with.

The insistence on the ‘male line’ in the definition above is, of course, a shameful surrender to the local gender-discriminatory culture; but it also serves a practical purpose: many of the original refugees and their male descendants married local non-Palestinian women.  Needless to explain, these women are in no way refugees; they are normal citizens of their countries (insofar, of course, as women are citizens in Arab countries).  UNRWA’s definition turns these women and their children into ‘refugees’, sanctioning their deprivation of citizenship in their own country!

The self-sustaining bureaucracy has thus increased the number of ‘wards’ in need of assistance from the original 650,000 to more than 5 million.  Needless to say, UNRWA, has never demanded from any of the Arab countries to award citizen rights to these Arab people born, educated and paying taxes on their territory, people who know no other country.  Given UNRWA’s policies, in 30-40 years the Agency will deliver ‘humanitarian assistance’ to 50 million ‘Palestine refugees’.

But UNRWA is not just ludicrous in its (mis)management of its mandate; it is also an anachronism.  Because almost exactly one year after its inception, in December 1950, the ‘United’ Nations suddenly discovered that the phenomenon of refugees is considerably vaster and not confined to ‘Palestine’.  As a result, it decided to establish an agency charged with assisting refugees in general, wherever and whoever they are.  But, following the ‘bureaucracy conservation law’, it forgot to merge the already established UNRWA with the newly established Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).  Which created the weird situation in which the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees cares for all refugees anywhere in the world EXCEPT ‘Palestine refugees’.  Two distinct budgets; two separate bureaucracies; two different modes of action; and all of the above funded primarily by US and European taxpayers.

If you are a Syrian (Syria?) refugee to Jordan  – one of hundreds of thousands of such refugees  – UNHCR will hopefully provide your family with a tent and food.  Except, that is, if you happen to be a ‘Palestine refugee’ from Syria.  If the latter, both you and your father may have been born in Syria; your mother may have been a Syrian national; and you may have lived 200 yards from the ‘Syrian refugee’.  But since Assad’s regime has refused to grant you Syrian citizenship, your family is not entitled to an UNHCR tent and food, like the Syrian family; but it is entitled to an UNRWA tent, food, cash, education, healthcare and political advocacy – forever and ever.

Although the current conflagration between Hamas and Israel is raging on, there is little doubt that eventually – through sheer exhaustion if nothing else – fighting will subside.  And when it does, chances are that some sort of international effort will take place, aimed at improving the Gazans’ quality of life.  Projects will be undertaken and funds will be spent.  It is imperative, however (and Israel will no doubt insist on this point), that these projects and funds benefit Gaza’s innocent population – not Hamas.  Which means that they need to be kept well away from UNRWA and channelled through a different organisation.  One that will do away with the status of ‘refugee’ that UNRWA is so keen to preserve.


As for UNRWA itself, it is high time for this anachronistic and politicised bureaucracy to be disbanded and for the definition of ‘Palestine refugee’ to be reviewed.  The original refugees may perforce still be in need of assistance, which they can receive from UNHCR, like all other refugees.  But refugee-dom should not be viewed as an inheritable status; a child born on a state’s territory should not forever be denied citizenship and rights in that state.  Western taxpayers want to help true refugees, genuine victims of conflict; but they surely have better things to do with their money than underwrite for decades a situation dictated by cynical political interests.
 
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